The weather phenomenon passes its peak, but it will still remain until the middle of 2016
GENEVA, Switzerland (Feb. 19, 206) — The 2015-2016 El Niño weather phenomenon, one of the most powerful on record, has begun its decline but continues to have a strong influence on global climate patterns, the UN’s weather agency said Thursday, February 18.
The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) said El Niño, which occurs every two to seven years, has “passed its peak” but ocean temperature rises in recent months proved its considerable impact.
“We have just witnessed one of the most powerful ever El Niño events which caused extreme weather in countries on all continents and helped fuel record global heat in 2015,” WMO Secretary General Petteri Taalas said in a statement.
The UN agency had forecast this El Niño to be the worst in 15 years, a prediction borne out by ocean temperatures recorded in late 2015 that were more than 2.0 degrees Celsius above average.
The WMO statement said this El Niño was comparable to the particularly strong phenomena recorded in 1982-83 and 1997-98.
“Parts of South America and East Africa are still recovering from torrential rains and flooding,” the statement said, linking those events to El Niño, which sparks global climate extremes.
“The economic and human toll from drought…is becoming increasingly apparent in southern (Africa) and the Horn of Africa, central America and a number of other regions,” it added.
This El Niño is expected to end towards the middle of the year.
In the Philippines, forecasters predicted fewer but stronger storms in the first half of 2016 as the El Niño phenomenon persists.
They also warned that “way below normal” rainfall over critical dams from February to March could affect the country’s water supply.
While scientists say weather patterns like El Niño are not caused by climate change, rising ocean temperatures caused by global warming are believed to impact their intensity and frequency.